Bayreuth SpVgg vs Melsunger FV 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.8%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 3
OFC
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
WWO
2 - 0
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BAY
3 - 3
SCF
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
SVS
0 - 1
BAY
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Melsunger FV 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
TUS
2 - 3
MFV
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |