Bayreuth SpVgg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1976 |
AUG
3 - 4
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
BAY
4 - 2
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
FSV
2 - 1
BAY
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1976 |
BAY
4 - 0
SSV
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
PIR
0 - 2
BAY
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1976 |
BAY
4 - 3
M05
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
M05
1 - 3
AUG
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 3
M05
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1976 |
M05
6 - 1
FSV
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
SSV
3 - 3
M05
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |