Bayreuth SpVgg vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
BNE
1 - 5
BAY
32%
28%
39%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
BAY
2 - 4
FSV
75%
15%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
FCH
1 - 5
BAY
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1979 |
BAY
2 - 0
SVS
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
BAY
3 - 1
FRE
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
KFC
3 - 0
OSN
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
HOL
1 - 1
KFC
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
RWL
1 - 3
KFC
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
HER
6 - 1
KFC
64%
18%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
KFC
1 - 0
ROT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |