Bayreuth SpVgg vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 0
WEI
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
TSV
0 - 0
BAY
38%
25%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
1 - 0
UNT
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 3
BAY
43%
25%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
JRE
2 - 0
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
JRE
1 - 1
ANS
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
JRE
3 - 0
MEM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ISM
1 - 1
JRE
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
JRE
0 - 0
NUR
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |