Bayreuth SpVgg vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 3
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FUR
3 - 3
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 2
ISM
47%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
WUR
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 1
WUR
73%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
MEM
3 - 1
JRE
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
JRE
2 - 2
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TSV
3 - 1
JRE
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 1
186
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |