Bayreuth SpVgg vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 4
BAY
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
BAY
0 - 1
ING
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
UNT
5 - 1
BAY
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BAY
0 - 3
BUC
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
WAC
1 - 0
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
ILL
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
MEM
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VRG
2 - 2
ILL
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 3
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ILL
1 - 3
SCH
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |