Bayreuth SpVgg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BAY
4 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
BAY
2 - 0
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1989 |
HER
3 - 0
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
BAY
2 - 1
SAA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
OSN
1 - 5
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
HOM
2 - 0
EBT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
M05
0 - 0
HOM
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1989 |
USO
0 - 2
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
HOM
3 - 1
F95
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |