Bayreuth SpVgg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
WWO
0 - 2
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
BAY
2 - 0
HEI
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
M05
3 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
AUG
3 - 0
BAY
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
BAY
0 - 0
SVS
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 1
SVS
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
SGF
2 - 0
HOM
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
6 - 1
VFR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
SAA
2 - 3
HOM
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
0 - 2
TSV
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 17 | 45 | 0 |