Bayreuth SpVgg vs Hollfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 3
BAY
23%
23%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 1
ERB
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AUB
2 - 0
BAY
39%
24%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 1
ELT
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AMB
0 - 3
BAY
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
AHA
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MEM
1 - 0
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 2
JRE
22%
23%
56%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
SEL
23%
21%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ERB
1 - 0
HOL
60%
19%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |