Bayreuth SpVgg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
BAY
3 - 1
SGF
41%
23%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCF
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
KÖL
5 - 1
BAY
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
BAY
0 - 6
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
SGF
2 - 2
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 1
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1982 |
HER
3 - 3
LEV
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
KSC
1 - 1
HER
41%
24%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
HER
1 - 1
F95
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
BRE
3 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |