Bayreuth SpVgg vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
73.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ING
1 - 0
BAY
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 1
COT
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 2
LOK
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DAR
4 - 1
BAY
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAY
4 - 0
EIN
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HSV
0 - 1
ROS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
EBT
0 - 2
HSV
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HSV
4 - 3
ARI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
HSV
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |