Bayreuth SpVgg vs Fürstenfeldbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 3
BAY
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 2
ISM
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NUR
3 - 2
BAY
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
4 - 2
GRO
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fürstenfeldbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
FUR
2 - 2
ISM
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
NUR
2 - 0
FUR
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
FUR
2 - 2
WUR
32%
26%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
TSV
1 - 0
FUR
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
EIN
3 - 3
FUR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |