Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfL Frohnlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
BAY
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 0
BAY
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 3
WEI
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
BAY
3 - 2
TSV
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 2
BAY
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Frohnlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
FRO
0 - 0
WUR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 1
FRO
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
ANS
2 - 0
FRO
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
RAI
5 - 3
FRO
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |