Bayreuth SpVgg vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
USO
1 - 0
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BAY
1 - 0
OSN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 2
BAY
66%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
BAY
0 - 1
OFC
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
SCF
2 - 2
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
FRE
0 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
FRE
0 - 3
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1982 |
AAA
2 - 0
FRE
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
FRE
1 - 1
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1982 |
KFC
3 - 1
FRE
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |