Bayreuth SpVgg vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
OFC
1 - 1
BAY
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
BAY
2 - 0
ESV
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
BAY
3 - 1
SGF
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
WAL
4 - 3
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
BAY
1 - 0
OFC
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
WAL
5 - 0
FRE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
FRE
1 - 4
KSC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
ULM
3 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
FRE
2 - 2
WWO
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |