Bayreuth SpVgg vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1979 |
BAU
1 - 0
BAY
33%
28%
38%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
BAY
2 - 0
AUG
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
WAL
2 - 3
BAY
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
KSC
3 - 3
BAY
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BAY
2 - 2
SAA
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1979 |
FRE
0 - 4
SAA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
SGF
3 - 1
FRE
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
MTV
7 - 1
FRE
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
FRE
3 - 1
HOM
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
OFC
0 - 1
FRE
77%
15%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |