Bayreuth SpVgg vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Fortuna Köln
66 ELO 75
9.3% Tilt 21.4%
2467º General ELO ranking 2368º
85º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Bayreuth SpVgg
25.8%
Draw
40.9%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
+17%
+10%
Fortuna Köln

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 1989
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
4 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
60%
21%
19%
67 74 7 0
18 Jun. 1989
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
39%
28%
33%
65 73 8 +2
11 Jun. 1989
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
3 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
46%
26%
28%
66 64 2 -1
03 Jun. 1989
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 0
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
48%
25%
27%
65 68 3 +1
27 May. 1989
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
52%
24%
25%
65 69 4 0

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 1989
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
58%
22%
20%
74 72 2 0
18 Jun. 1989
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
63%
21%
17%
73 69 4 +1
11 Jun. 1989
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
4 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
45%
25%
31%
74 72 2 -1
03 Jun. 1989
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 3
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
66%
19%
15%
75 68 7 -1
27 May. 1989
DAR
Darmstadt 98
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
75 71 4 0