Bayreuth SpVgg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 0
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BAY
1 - 6
HOM
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
EBT
5 - 2
BAY
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
BAY
3 - 2
ROT
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
SVS
1 - 1
BAY
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
TEN
1 - 3
KÖL
42%
26%
31%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
KÖL
0 - 3
BWB
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 0
HES
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
0 - 1
KÖL
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |