Bayreuth SpVgg vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
53%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
FEU
1 - 0
BAY
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
BAY
2 - 2
BAY
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
TSA
2 - 1
BAY
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
BAY
0 - 0
TSV
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SCS
6 - 0
BAY
68%
18%
13%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
ING
1 - 1
WUR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
ING
1 - 2
BAY
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +6 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
HES
1 - 3
ING
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
ING
1 - 2
FRE
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
HEI
1 - 3
ING
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |