Bayreuth SpVgg vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 0
BAY
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WEI
0 - 1
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 2
BAY
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
JFO
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 2
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ERL
0 - 0
AHA
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ERL
3 - 0
HOL
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
SEL
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 4
ERL
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 0
AUB
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |