Bayreuth SpVgg vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 1
BAY
61%
21%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
SEL
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
AUB
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 1
BAY
33%
24%
42%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
6 - 1
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AMB
3 - 0
ERB
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
ERB
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
5 - 3
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
ERB
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |