Bayreuth SpVgg vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
ERB
1 - 1
BAY
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 1
BAD
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 0
BAY
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 0
TSG
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
BAY
3 - 0
ANS
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
BUC
3 - 4
UNT
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MEM
1 - 7
BUC
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MEM
5 - 2
BUC
59%
22%
18%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ING
2 - 0
BUC
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |