Bayreuth SpVgg vs Borussia Neunkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
LEV
1 - 0
BAY
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 3
FCH
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
FRE
2 - 1
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 2
BAU
71%
17%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AUG
1 - 0
BAY
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Borussia Neunkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SGF
3 - 0
BNE
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BNE
1 - 0
HOM
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
OFC
3 - 1
BNE
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BNE
1 - 2
WWO
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SCF
4 - 4
BNE
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |