Bayreuth SpVgg vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
WOL
88%
9%
3%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
FCP
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ANS
1 - 1
BAY
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
SCS
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 0
GRE
16%
20%
65%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
BAD
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 2
ANS
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WEI
2 - 0
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |