Bayreuth SpVgg vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ELT
0 - 3
BAY
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
AMB
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 2
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 1
WUR
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
FRO
3 - 0
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
AHA
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MEM
1 - 2
AUB
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 0
AUB
44%
24%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 2
ERB
76%
14%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |