Bayreuth SpVgg vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 1
BAY
33%
24%
42%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 1
AMM
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
0 - 0
BAY
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 1
JFO
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 4
BAY
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
4 - 3
AUB
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
0 - 0
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 4
AUB
14%
20%
67%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |