Bayreuth SpVgg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 2
VIK
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
HOM
2 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BAY
0 - 1
EBT
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ROT
5 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 1
MSV
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
BWB
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
TEN
1 - 2
ARB
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ARB
2 - 1
HES
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |