Bayreuth SpVgg vs Alemannia Haibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MEM
2 - 3
BAY
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
HOL
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 3
BAY
23%
23%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 1
ERB
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AUB
2 - 0
BAY
39%
24%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Alemannia Haibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AHA
0 - 3
JRE
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AHA
0 - 1
MEM
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
AHA
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AHA
0 - 1
SEL
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ERB
2 - 0
AHA
36%
23%
40%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |