Bayreuth SpVgg vs Alemannia Haibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 2
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ERB
1 - 3
BAY
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 4
WUR
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 2
BAY
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
4 - 3
BAY
25%
23%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Haibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 0
AHA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
AHA
1 - 3
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AHA
0 - 0
DJJ
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MEM
1 - 0
AHA
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
AHA
3 - 0
WUR
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |