Bayreuth SpVgg vs Rosenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 0
BAY
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 1
MEM
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAY
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 0
ING
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TSV
1 - 0
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rosenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 1
UNT
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ING
3 - 2
ROS
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 0
TSV
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 1
ROS
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |