Bayonne vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 0
MON
32%
27%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAS
2 - 1
BAY
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 1
SÈT
26%
27%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAY
2 - 0
FCM
23%
27%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
LAS
48%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 1
TAR
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FCM
1 - 1
TAR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
MON
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |