Bayonne vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
BAY
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 0
BAY
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 2
MON
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ASB
2 - 0
BAY
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
3 - 2
BEZ
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
TAR
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 1
ROD
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 1
TAR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |