Bayonne vs Saint-Estève Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
13º
9º
10
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
BLA
35%
26%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 1
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
LES
31%
28%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
STA
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Saint-Estève Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 2
CRF
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 0
FCA
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
SEP
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 4
BLA
19%
22%
60%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
SEP
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |