Bayonne vs Onet Le Château analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
12º
9º
2
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 45 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 37 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 37 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 34 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 20 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CRF
0 - 0
BAY
54%
25%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 3
BAY
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 1
STA
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CRF
2 - 0
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ONE
0 - 5
STA
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 1
ONE
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 2
ONE
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 4
ONE
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +2 |