Aviron Bayonnais vs Stade Montois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
ASB
2 - 0
BAY
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
QUE
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 1
BAY
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BRC
3 - 2
BAY
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
NIO
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Montois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
AGD
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 2
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
GDB
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |