Bayonne vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCM
2 - 1
BAY
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAE
0 - 1
BAY
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
BEZ
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
ROD
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
BEZ
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
ROD
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEP
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |