Aviron Bayonnais vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis

Aviron Bayonnais Gazélec Ajaccio
53 ELO 62
-13.6% Tilt -10%
4564º General ELO ranking 14660º
127º Country ELO ranking 405º
ELO win probability
21.3%
Aviron Bayonnais
27.1%
Draw
51.6%
Gazélec Ajaccio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
Aviron Bayonnais
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
51.6%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aviron Bayonnais
Gazélec Ajaccio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aviron Bayonnais
Aviron Bayonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2011
QUE
QRM
2 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
57%
23%
20%
53 56 3 0
03 Dec. 2011
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
1 - 2
Besancon RC
BRC
40%
27%
33%
54 54 0 -1
26 Nov. 2011
NIO
Niort
4 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
64%
22%
14%
55 62 7 -1
12 Nov. 2011
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
2 - 1
Épinal
SPI
24%
26%
50%
54 61 7 +1
05 Nov. 2011
PFC
Paris FC
2 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
66%
21%
13%
55 60 5 -1

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio
Gazélec Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2012
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
1 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
19%
26%
54%
62 83 21 0
21 Dec. 2011
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 1
Épinal
SPI
44%
26%
30%
61 61 0 +1
17 Dec. 2011
PFC
Paris FC
0 - 3
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
51%
25%
24%
60 60 0 +1
03 Dec. 2011
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
5 - 0
Cherbourg
CHE
51%
25%
23%
59 56 3 +1
25 Nov. 2011
FCM
FC Martigues
2 - 3
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
49%
26%
25%
59 59 0 0