Bayonne vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 1
BAY
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 1
BER
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
BAY
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAY
3 - 0
LEG
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 1
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAB
2 - 1
BER
33%
24%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 1
FAB
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAB
3 - 0
ROD
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
FAB
59%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAB
5 - 3
ANG
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |