Bayonne vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 1
LEG
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 0
BAY
50%
26%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
SAI
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAY
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 2
AUR
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
LEG
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
AUR
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LES
0 - 2
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |