Baynounah vs Fursan Hispania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
16º
17º
19
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 15 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baynounah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAM
3 - 1
BAY
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 2
ARA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 0
BAY
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 1
BAY
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
MAS
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Fursan Hispania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 4
DAH
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FUJ
2 - 1
FUR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
1 - 2
GUL
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 6
EMI
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
HAT
2 - 0
FUR
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |