Bayeux vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
VAN
0 - 1
TRO
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
THO
0 - 0
VAN
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |