Bayeux vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AFV
1 - 0
BAY
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BAY
0 - 4
AGC
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
EVR
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 1
BAY
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
ALE
29%
23%
49%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ALE
1 - 1
DIE
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RSP
2 - 1
ALE
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALE
6 - 0
AGC
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ALE
2 - 0
QUE
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
EVR
1 - 1
ALE
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |