Bayeux vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
PAM
1 - 1
BAY
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BAY
3 - 1
DIE
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
QUE
4 - 0
BAY
52%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 0
SAI
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAY
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 0
CHE
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
ALE
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
EVR
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALE
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAI
0 - 2
ALE
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |