Bayeux vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OIS
6 - 2
BAY
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 3
EVR
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
QUE
5 - 3
BAY
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
DIE
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
DIV
1 - 3
BAY
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 3
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
ALE
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
QUE
61%
19%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 1
ALE
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 3
OIS
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |