Bayeux vs Mondeville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 3
CAE
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
5 - 2
ALE
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OIS
6 - 2
BAY
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 3
EVR
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
QUE
5 - 3
BAY
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mondeville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 0
MON
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 3
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
OIS
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
DIV
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |