Bayeux vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
68.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAY
4 - 2
AVR
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAY
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 1
ALA
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 3
BAY
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
PAM
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCR
13%
23%
65%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
AVR
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
GON
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
EVR
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 3
CHE
8%
13%
79%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -1 |