Bayeux vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 0
BAY
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ROU
2 - 1
BAY
62%
20%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 2
AVR
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 4
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 3
CAE
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
4 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
65%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
LMU
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 3
CAE
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
STG
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |