Bayeux vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 4
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 3
CAE
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
5 - 2
ALE
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OIS
6 - 2
BAY
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 3
EVR
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
AVR
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
DIE
2 - 4
AVR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 0
MON
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
DIV
1 - 1
AVR
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 4
CAE
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |