Bayern München vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BYM
3 - 1
M05
82%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BYM
6 - 1
STU
70%
17%
12%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SGF
0 - 3
BYM
11%
18%
71%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
SSV
0 - 4
BYM
5%
14%
81%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 1
BVB
51%
22%
27%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 1
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VCF
3 - 3
DEP
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
4 - 2
VCF
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |