Bayern München vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
BYM
2 - 1
HER
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
OFC
6 - 0
BYM
20%
22%
58%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
MON
5 - 0
BYM
48%
22%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1974 |
BYM
4 - 0
ATM
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
BYM
1 - 1
ATM
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1974 |
F95
4 - 0
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
STU
1 - 0
RTV
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
STU
2 - 2
WUP
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
HER
1 - 0
STU
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
STU
0 - 3
ROT
72%
16%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |